Regular season ·
Sam Houston beat Texas State
Records are after this game.
Sam Houston trailed Texas State by 22 points in the 1st quarter and won 40-39, September 28, 2024.
How the game turned
Q4 0:06 Sam Houston 40, Texas State 39
Sam Houston 99% to win
Pavon 24-yd field goal, Sam Houston goes ahead 40-39
Big moments
- 1Q1 11:08 · Sam Houston 0, Texas State 7Sam Houston's win chance fell from 18% to 16%.McCloud 6-yd TD pass to Hobert, Texas State goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q4 0:06 · Sam Houston 40, Texas State 39Sam Houston's win chance rose from 46% to 99%.Pavon 24-yd field goal, Sam Houston goes ahead 40-39
Sam Houston's lowest chance to win was 1 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:06 left in the 4th quarter, Sam Houston's chance to win went from 46 percent to 99 percent when Sam Houston kicked a field goal.
The score went from Sam Houston 37, Texas State 39 to Sam Houston 40, Texas State 39.
The play: Pavon 24-yd field goal, Sam Houston goes ahead 40-39.
What happened next
Sam Houston's next game: W 41-21 at UTEP, Oct 3
5 days laterTexas State's next game: W 38-17 at Troy, Oct 3
5 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.