Regular season ·

Old Dominion beat Bowling Green

Old Dominion1-330
Bowling Green1-327Final
Sat, Sep 28 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, Ohio · Crowd 19,140 · 74°, cloudyESPN+

Records are after this game.

Old Dominion had a 8 percent chance to win with 13:13 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 30-27, September 28, 2024.

How the game turned

Old Dominion aheadBowling Green aheadBiggest swingLow: 8%
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Q4 0:24 Old Dominion 30, Bowling Green 27

Old Dominion 58% to win

Young 4-yd TD run, Old Dominion goes ahead 30-27

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 11:57 · Old Dominion 7, Bowling Green 0Old Dominion's win chance rose from 30% to 36%.Wilson 9-yd TD pass to Conroy, Old Dominion goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 0:20 · Old Dominion 14, Bowling Green 7Wilson 75-yd TD pass to Conroy, Old Dominion goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q2 8:33 · Old Dominion 17, Bowling Green 14Sanchez 53-yd field goal, Old Dominion goes ahead 17-14
  4. 4Q3 11:34 · Old Dominion 17, Bowling Green 21Old Dominion's win chance fell from 36% to 22%.Bazelak 59-yd TD pass to Fannin, Bowling Green goes ahead 21-17
  5. 5Q4 11:57 · Old Dominion 23, Bowling Green 21Old Dominion's win chance rose from 27% to 45%.Joseph 14-yd TD run, Old Dominion goes ahead 23-21
  6. 6Q4 3:01 · Old Dominion 23, Bowling Green 27Old Dominion's win chance fell from 31% to 14%.Stewart 13-yd TD run, two-point try fails, Bowling Green goes ahead 27-23
  7. 7Q4 0:24 · Old Dominion 30, Bowling Green 27Old Dominion's win chance rose from 31% to 58%.Young 4-yd TD run, Old Dominion goes ahead 30-27

Old Dominion's lowest chance to win was 8 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:24 left in the 4th quarter, Old Dominion's chance to win went from 31 percent to 58 percent when Old Dominion scored a touchdown.

The score went from Old Dominion 23, Bowling Green 27 to Old Dominion 30, Bowling Green 27.

The play: Young 4-yd TD run, Old Dominion goes ahead 30-27.

What happened next

  1. Old Dominion's next game: L 37-45 at Coastal Carolina, Oct 5

    7 days later

  2. Bowling Green's next game: W 27-20 at Akron, Oct 5

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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