Regular season ·

Florida State beat Alabama

No. 8 Alabama0-117
Florida State1-031Final
Sat, Aug 30 · Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, Fla. · Crowd 67,277 · 82°, thunderstormABC

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Florida State beat No. 8 Alabama by 14 points.

Alabama was No. 8 in the AP poll before the game; Florida State was not ranked.

How the game turned

Florida State aheadAlabama aheadBiggest swingLow: 11%
123

Q3 9:45 Florida State 24, Alabama 7

Florida State 92% to win

Holmes 4-yd TD run, Florida State leads 24-7

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 6:10 · Florida State 0, Alabama 7Florida State's win chance fell from 16% to 12%.Simpson 2-yd TD pass to Cuevas, Alabama goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 9:13 · Florida State 14, Alabama 7Florida State's win chance rose from 41% to 46%.Danzy 32-yd TD run, Florida State goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q3 9:45 · Florida State 24, Alabama 7Florida State's win chance rose from 73% to 92%.Holmes 4-yd TD run, Florida State leads 24-7

Florida State's lowest chance to win was 11 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 9:45 left in the 3rd quarter, Florida State's chance to win went from 73 percent to 92 percent when Florida State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Florida State 17, Alabama 7 to Florida State 24, Alabama 7.

The play: Holmes 4-yd TD run, Florida State leads 24-7.

What happened next

  1. Alabama went from No. 8 to No. 21 in the next AP poll.

  2. Florida State's next game: W 77-3 vs East Texas A&M, Sep 6

    7 days later

  3. Alabama's next game: W 73-0 vs UL Monroe, Sep 6

    7 days later

  4. The teams' next meeting after Aug 30, 2025: Alabama 50, Florida State 36, Sep 19, 2026

    about 13 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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