Regular season ·
South Florida beat Florida
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
South Florida beat No. 13 Florida by 2 points.
Florida was No. 13 in the AP poll before the game; South Florida was not ranked.
How the game turned
Q4 0:00 South Florida 18, Florida 16
South Florida 100% to win
Gramatica 20-yd field goal, South Florida wins it 18-16
Big moments
- 1Q1 5:39 · South Florida 0, Florida 3Smack 28-yd field goal, Florida goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 7:13 · South Florida 3, Florida 6South Florida's win chance fell from 13% to 8%.Smack 36-yd field goal, Florida goes ahead 6-3
- 3Q3 2:03 · South Florida 13, Florida 9South Florida's win chance rose from 13% to 31%.Brown 66-yd TD pass to Singleton, South Florida goes ahead 13-9
- 4Q4 0:00 · South Florida 18, Florida 16South Florida's win chance rose from 22% to 100%.Gramatica 20-yd field goal, South Florida wins it 18-16
South Florida's lowest chance to win was 5 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, South Florida's chance to win went from 22 percent to 99 percent when South Florida kicked a field goal.
The score went from South Florida 15, Florida 16 to South Florida 18, Florida 16.
The play: Gramatica 20-yd field goal, South Florida wins it 18-16.
It was South Florida's first win over Florida since 1970 in our games data, after 3 straight losses in the series.
What happened next
Florida was No. 13 before the game and out of the next AP poll.
South Florida's next game: L 12-49 at Miami, Sep 13
7 days laterFlorida's next game: L 10-20 at LSU, Sep 13
7 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.