Regular season ·

Alabama beat Missouri

No. 8 Alabama5-127
No. 14 Missouri5-124Final
Sat, Oct 11 · Memorial Stadium, Columbia, Mo. · Crowd 57,321 · 70°, cloudyABC

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 8 Alabama beat No. 14 Missouri by 3 points.

How the game turned

Alabama aheadMissouri aheadBiggest swingLow: 31%
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Q4 13:19 Alabama 20, Missouri 17

Alabama 76% to win

Beau Pribula pass intercepted Bray Hubbard return for no gain

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 12:10 · Alabama 0, Missouri 7Alabama's win chance fell from 44% to 32%.Pribula 26-yd TD pass to Norfleet, Missouri goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 14:51 · Alabama 14, Missouri 7Alabama's win chance rose from 63% to 74%.Simpson 16-yd TD pass to Horton, Alabama goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q3 14:45 · Alabama 17, Missouri 10Alabama's win chance fell from 82% to 68%.Simpson sacked, fumbles
  4. 4Q3 0:09 · Alabama 20, Missouri 17Talty 22-yd field goal, Alabama goes ahead 20-17
  5. 5Q4 7:02 · Alabama 20, Missouri 17Alabama's win chance rose from 66% to 83%.Roberts 3-yd run, turnover on downs

Alabama's lowest chance to win was 31 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 13:19 left in the 4th quarter, Alabama's chance to win went from 55 percent to 76 percent on an interception.

The score stayed Alabama 20, Missouri 17.

What happened next

  1. Alabama's next game: W 37-20 vs Tennessee, Oct 18

    7 days later

  2. Missouri's next game: W 23-17 at Auburn, Oct 18

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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