Regular season ·
Vanderbilt beat Missouri
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 10 Vanderbilt beat No. 15 Missouri by 7 points.
How the game turned
Q4 1:52 Vanderbilt 17, Missouri 10
Vanderbilt 92% to win
Pavia 1-yd TD run, Vanderbilt goes ahead 17-10
Big moments
- 1Q2 5:11 · Vanderbilt 0, Missouri 3Vanderbilt's win chance fell from 57% to 51%.Meyer 39-yd field goal, Missouri goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q3 (no clock) · Vanderbilt 3, Missouri 3Vanderbilt's win chance fell from 62% to 50%.Pavia intercepted by Wilson
- 3Q3 3:51 · Vanderbilt 10, Missouri 3Vanderbilt's win chance rose from 54% to 83%.Young 80-yd TD run, Vanderbilt goes ahead 10-3
- 4Q4 12:49 · Vanderbilt 10, Missouri 10Vanderbilt's win chance fell from 82% to 66%.Zollers 6-yd TD pass to James, ties it 10-10
- 5Q4 1:52 · Vanderbilt 17, Missouri 10Vanderbilt's win chance rose from 56% to 92%.Pavia 1-yd TD run, Vanderbilt goes ahead 17-10
Vanderbilt's lowest chance to win was 43 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 1:52 left in the 4th quarter, Vanderbilt's chance to win went from 56 percent to 92 percent when Vanderbilt scored a touchdown.
The score went from Vanderbilt 10, Missouri 10 to Vanderbilt 17, Missouri 10.
The play: Pavia 1-yd TD run, Vanderbilt goes ahead 17-10.
It was Vanderbilt's first win over Missouri since the 2019 season, after 5 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
Vanderbilt's next game: L 31-34 at Texas, Nov 1
7 days laterMissouri's next game: L 17-38 vs Texas A&M, Nov 8
14 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.