Regular season ·
LSU beat Arkansas
Records are after this game.
LSU beat Arkansas by 1 point.
How the game turned
Q3 4:02 LSU 16, Arkansas 22
LSU 41% to win
Washington 9-yd TD run, Arkansas goes ahead 22-16
Big moments
- 1Q1 10:58 · LSU 0, Arkansas 7LSU's win chance fell from 68% to 47%.Wooden TD return of a blocked punt, Arkansas goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q1 4:06 · LSU 0, Arkansas 14LSU's win chance fell from 42% to 22%.Green 11-yd TD run, Arkansas leads 14-0
- 3Q2 0:03 · LSU 16, Arkansas 14Ramos 42-yd field goal, LSU goes ahead 16-14
- 4Q3 4:02 · LSU 16, Arkansas 22LSU's win chance fell from 64% to 41%.Washington 9-yd TD run, Arkansas goes ahead 22-16
- 5Q4 7:53 · LSU 23, Arkansas 22LSU's win chance rose from 49% to 64%.Van Buren 12-yd TD pass to Sharp, LSU goes ahead 23-22
LSU's lowest chance to win was 22 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 4:02 left in the 3rd quarter, Arkansas's chance to win went from 36 percent to 59 percent when Arkansas scored a touchdown.
The score went from LSU 16, Arkansas 14 to LSU 16, Arkansas 22.
The play: Washington 9-yd TD run, Arkansas goes ahead 22-16.
What happened next
LSU's next game: W 13-10 vs Western Kentucky, Nov 22
7 days laterArkansas's next game: L 37-52 at Texas, Nov 22
7 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.