Regular season ·
USC beat Michigan
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
USC beat No. 15 Michigan by 18 points.
Michigan was No. 15 in the AP poll before the game; USC was not ranked.
How the game turned
Q2 0:14 USC 14, Michigan 7
USC 82% to win
Maiava 12-yd TD pass to Lemon, USC goes ahead 14-7
Big moments
- 1Q1 8:57 · USC 7, Michigan 0USC's win chance rose from 71% to 81%.Maiava 2-yd TD pass to Lane, USC goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 0:14 · USC 14, Michigan 7USC's win chance rose from 66% to 82%.Maiava 12-yd TD pass to Lemon, USC goes ahead 14-7
USC was never below a 59 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:14 left in the 2nd quarter, USC's chance to win went from 66 percent to 82 percent when USC scored a touchdown.
The score went from USC 7, Michigan 7 to USC 14, Michigan 7.
The play: Maiava 12-yd TD pass to Lemon, USC goes ahead 14-7.
What happened next
Michigan was No. 15 before the game and out of the next AP poll.
USC's next game: L 24-34 at Notre Dame, Oct 18
7 days laterMichigan's next game: W 24-7 vs Washington, Oct 18
7 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.