Regular season ·

Minnesota beat Michigan State

Michigan State3-620
Minnesota6-323Final
Sat, Nov 1 · Huntington Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minn. · Crowd 45,339 · 43°, cloudyBTN

Records are after this game.

Minnesota beat Michigan State by 3 points in overtime.

How the game turned

Minnesota aheadMichigan State aheadBiggest swingLow: 26%

OT1 Minnesota 23, Michigan State 20

Minnesota 100% to win

Lindsey 3-yd TD run, Minnesota wins it 23-20

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 2:24 · Minnesota 7, Michigan State 0Minnesota's win chance rose from 74% to 85%.Ijeboi 1-yd TD run, Minnesota goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q4 1:52 · Minnesota 10, Michigan State 17Minnesota's win chance fell from 46% to 26%.Tullis 1-yd TD run, Michigan State goes ahead 17-10
  3. 3Q4 0:29 · Minnesota 17, Michigan State 17Minnesota's win chance rose from 36% to 49%.Lindsey 2-yd TD run, ties it 17-17
  4. 4OT1 · Minnesota 17, Michigan State 20Connington 36-yd field goal, Michigan State goes ahead 20-17
  5. 5OT1 · Minnesota 23, Michigan State 20Minnesota's win chance rose from 61% to 100%.Lindsey 3-yd TD run, Minnesota wins it 23-20

Minnesota's lowest chance to win was 26 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In overtime, Minnesota's chance to win went from 61 percent to 99 percent when Minnesota scored a touchdown.

The score went from Minnesota 17, Michigan State 20 to Minnesota 23, Michigan State 20.

The play: Lindsey 3-yd TD run, Minnesota wins it 23-20.

What happened next

  1. Minnesota's next game: L 13-42 at Oregon, Nov 14

    13 days later
  2. Michigan State's next game: L 10-28 vs Penn State, Nov 15

    14 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

Share: Post on X · Text it ·