Regular season ·

Wake Forest beat SMU

SMU5-312
Wake Forest5-213Final
Sat, Oct 25 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium, Winston-Salem, N.C. · Crowd 28,358 · 56°, cloudyThe CW

Records are after this game.

Wake Forest had a 9 percent chance to win with 0:12 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 13-12, October 25, 2025.

How the game turned

Wake Forest aheadSMU aheadBiggest swing
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Q4 0:00 Wake Forest 13, SMU 12

Wake Forest 100% to win

Calvert 50-yd field goal, Wake Forest wins it 13-12

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 4:59 · Wake Forest 3, SMU 0Wake Forest's win chance rose from 48% to 49%.Calvert 25-yd field goal, Wake Forest goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 10:09 · Wake Forest 10, SMU 3Wake Forest's win chance rose from 53% to 66%.Ashford 12-yd TD pass to Falayi, Wake Forest goes ahead 10-3
  3. 3Q3 14:00 · Wake Forest 10, SMU 6Wake Forest's win chance fell from 66% to 48%.Purdie intercepted by Nwokobia, returned 27 yards
  4. 4Q3 2:58 · Wake Forest 10, SMU 12Wake Forest's win chance fell from 53% to 38%.Clayton-Johnson 6-yd TD run, blocked, SMU goes ahead 12-10
  5. 5Q4 0:00 · Wake Forest 13, SMU 12Wake Forest's win chance rose from 25% to 100%.Calvert 50-yd field goal, Wake Forest wins it 13-12

Wake Forest's lowest chance to win was 9 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Wake Forest's chance to win went from 25 percent to 99 percent when Wake Forest kicked a field goal.

The score went from Wake Forest 10, SMU 12 to Wake Forest 13, SMU 12.

The play: Calvert 50-yd field goal, Wake Forest wins it 13-12.

What happened next

  1. Wake Forest's next game: L 7-42 at Florida State, Nov 1

    7 days later

  2. SMU's next game: W 26-20 vs Miami, Nov 1

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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