Regular season ·
Stanford beat San José State
Records are after this game.
Stanford beat San José State by 1 point.
How the game turned
Q4 0:19 Stanford 30, San José State 29
Stanford 94% to win
Irvin 1-yd TD run, two-point try fails, Stanford goes ahead 30-29
Big moments
- 1Q1 7:42 · Stanford 7, San José State 0Stanford's win chance rose from 75% to 82%.Tabb 8-yd TD run, Stanford goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q1 0:55 · Stanford 7, San José State 10Stanford's win chance fell from 72% to 53%.Eget 10-yd TD pass to Scudero, San José State goes ahead 10-7
- 3Q2 4:06 · Stanford 14, San José State 13Stanford's win chance rose from 52% to 78%.Gulbranson 15-yd TD pass to Roush, Stanford goes ahead 14-13
- 4Q2 1:59 · Stanford 14, San José State 20Stanford's win chance fell from 73% to 46%.Eget 29-yd TD pass to Shoels, San José State goes ahead 20-14
- 5Q4 0:19 · Stanford 30, San José State 29Stanford's win chance rose from 31% to 94%.Irvin 1-yd TD run, two-point try fails, Stanford goes ahead 30-29
Stanford's lowest chance to win was 11 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:19 left in the 4th quarter, Stanford's chance to win went from 31 percent to 94 percent when Stanford scored a touchdown.
The score went from Stanford 24, San José State 29 to Stanford 30, San José State 29.
The play: Irvin 1-yd TD run, two-point try fails, Stanford goes ahead 30-29.
What happened next
San José State's next game: W 35-28 vs New Mexico, Oct 3
6 days laterStanford's next game: L 10-34 at SMU, Oct 11
14 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.