Regular season ·
Stanford beat California
Records are after this game.
Stanford beat California by 21 points.
How the game turned
Q2 1:05 Stanford 14, California 10
Stanford 65% to win
Raphael fumbles, Davis returns it for a TD, personal foul on California
Big moments
- 1Q1 6:10 · Stanford 0, California 3Stanford's win chance fell from 41% to 37%.Murray 40-yd field goal, California goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 12:57 · Stanford 7, California 3Stanford's win chance rose from 37% to 61%.Green fumble return TD, Stanford goes ahead 7-3
- 3Q2 4:38 · Stanford 7, California 10Stanford's win chance fell from 53% to 41%.Sagapolutele 7-yd TD run, California goes ahead 10-7
- 4Q2 1:05 · Stanford 14, California 10Stanford's win chance rose from 43% to 65%.Raphael fumbles, Davis returns it for a TD, personal foul on California
- 5Q3 1:31 · Stanford 17, California 10Stanford's win chance rose from 74% to 85%.California run for a 5-yd loss, fumbles
Stanford's lowest chance to win was 28 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
How the lead changed
Stanford took the lead for good with 1:05 left in the 2nd quarter, Stanford 14, California 10.
It was Stanford's first win over California since the 2020 season, after 4 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
Stanford's next game: L 20-49 vs Notre Dame, Nov 29
7 days laterCalifornia's next game: W 38-35 vs SMU, Nov 29
7 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.