Regular season ·
TCU beat SMU
Records are after this game.
TCU beat SMU by 11 points.
How the game turned
Q4 9:18 TCU 28, SMU 24
TCU 79% to win
Hoover 70-yd TD pass to McAlister, TCU goes ahead 28-24
Big moments
- 1Q1 8:56 · TCU 7, SMU 0TCU's win chance rose from 80% to 86%.Hoover 27-yd TD pass to McAlister, TCU goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q4 10:30 · TCU 21, SMU 24TCU's win chance fell from 74% to 51%.Jennings 34-yd TD pass to Hudson, SMU goes ahead 24-21
- 3Q4 9:18 · TCU 28, SMU 24TCU's win chance rose from 51% to 79%.Hoover 70-yd TD pass to McAlister, TCU goes ahead 28-24
TCU was never below a 51 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 9:18 left in the 4th quarter, TCU's chance to win went from 51 percent to 79 percent when TCU scored a touchdown.
The score went from TCU 21, SMU 24 to TCU 28, SMU 24.
The play: Hoover 70-yd TD pass to McAlister, TCU goes ahead 28-24.
What happened next
TCU's next game: L 24-27 at Arizona State, Sep 26
6 days laterSMU's next game: W 31-18 vs Syracuse, Oct 4
14 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.