Regular season ·
Middle Tennessee beat New Mexico State
Records are after this game.
Middle Tennessee beat New Mexico State by 7 points in overtime.
How the game turned
Q3 0:52 Middle Tennessee 17, New Mexico State 14
Middle Tennessee 54% to win
Damante 5-yd TD pass to King, cuts it to 17-14
Big moments
- 1Q1 2:39 · Middle Tennessee 0, New Mexico State 7Middle Tennessee's win chance fell from 32% to 19%.Damante 64-yd TD pass to King, New Mexico State goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 0:15 · Middle Tennessee 14, New Mexico State 7Middle Tennessee's win chance rose from 46% to 63%.Gagliano 24-yd TD pass to Jones, Middle Tennessee goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q3 0:52 · Middle Tennessee 17, New Mexico State 14Middle Tennessee's win chance fell from 74% to 54%.Damante 5-yd TD pass to King, cuts it to 17-14
- 4Q4 11:49 · Middle Tennessee 17, New Mexico State 21Middle Tennessee's win chance fell from 38% to 25%.Damante 1-yd TD run, New Mexico State goes ahead 21-17
- 5Q4 0:58 · Middle Tennessee 24, New Mexico State 24Middle Tennessee's win chance fell from 60% to 44%.Hawk 35-yd field goal, ties it 24-24
- 6OT1 · Middle Tennessee 31, New Mexico State 24Gagliano 11-yd TD pass to Jones, Middle Tennessee goes ahead 31-24
Middle Tennessee's lowest chance to win was 16 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:52 left in the 3rd quarter, New Mexico State's chance to win went from 26 percent to 46 percent when New Mexico State scored a touchdown.
The score went from Middle Tennessee 17, New Mexico State 7 to Middle Tennessee 17, New Mexico State 14.
The play: Damante 5-yd TD pass to King, cuts it to 17-14.
It was Middle Tennessee's first win over New Mexico State since the 2003 season, after 3 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
Middle Tennessee finished the 2025 season 3-9.
New Mexico State finished the 2025 season 4-8.
New Mexico State's first game of the 2026 season: L 17-34 at Florida State, Aug 29, 2026
about 9 months laterMiddle Tennessee's first game of the 2026 season: W 38-14 vs Murray State, Sep 5, 2026
about 9 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.