Regular season ·

Western Michigan beat Central Michigan

Central Michigan5-421
Western Michigan5-424Final
Sat, Nov 1 · Waldo Stadium, Kalamazoo, Mich. · Crowd 29,299 · 49°, cloudyESPNU

Records are after this game.

Western Michigan beat Central Michigan by 3 points.

How the game turned

Western Michigan aheadCentral Michigan aheadBiggest swingLow: 29%
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Q2 7:23 Western Michigan 7, Central Michigan 14

Western Michigan 39% to win

Labas 77-yd TD pass to Lewis, Central Michigan goes ahead 14-7

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 2:31 · Western Michigan 0, Central Michigan 7Western Michigan's win chance fell from 60% to 44%.Biggins 1-yd TD run, Central Michigan goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 7:23 · Western Michigan 7, Central Michigan 14Western Michigan's win chance fell from 68% to 39%.Labas 77-yd TD pass to Lewis, Central Michigan goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q3 8:43 · Western Michigan 14, Central Michigan 14Western Michigan's win chance rose from 47% to 62%.Buckley 9-yd TD run, ties it 14-14
  4. 4Q4 14:53 · Western Michigan 14, Central Michigan 21Western Michigan's win chance fell from 51% to 32%.Beamon 33-yd TD pass to Davis, Central Michigan goes ahead 21-14
  5. 5Q4 2:08 · Western Michigan 24, Central Michigan 21Western Michigan's win chance rose from 56% to 79%.Lowry 7-yd TD pass to Williams, Western Michigan goes ahead 24-21

Western Michigan's lowest chance to win was 29 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 7:23 left in the 2nd quarter, Central Michigan's chance to win went from 32 percent to 61 percent when Central Michigan scored a touchdown.

The score went from Western Michigan 7, Central Michigan 7 to Western Michigan 7, Central Michigan 14.

The play: Labas 77-yd TD pass to Lewis, Central Michigan goes ahead 14-7.

What happened next

  1. Western Michigan's next game: W 17-13 vs Ohio, Nov 11

    10 days later

  2. Central Michigan's next game: W 38-19 vs Buffalo, Nov 12

    11 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 1, 2025: Western Michigan 21, Central Michigan 14, Oct 17, 2026

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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