Liberty Mutual Music City Bowl ·
Liberty Mutual Music City Bowl
Records are after this game.
Illinois beat Tennessee by 2 points, the Liberty Mutual Music City Bowl.
It was played at a neutral site: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN.
How the game turned
Q4 0:03 Illinois 30, Tennessee 28
Illinois 100% to win
Olano 29-yd field goal, Illinois wins it 30-28
Big moments
- 1Q1 6:16 · Illinois 0, Tennessee 7Illinois's win chance fell from 37% to 27%.Aguilar 7-yd TD run, Tennessee goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 0:21 · Illinois 10, Tennessee 7Illinois's win chance rose from 52% to 61%.Olano 30-yd field goal, Illinois goes ahead 10-7
- 3Q4 11:40 · Illinois 24, Tennessee 21Illinois's win chance fell from 90% to 66%.Bishop 12-yd TD run, cuts it to 24-21
- 4Q4 4:58 · Illinois 27, Tennessee 28Illinois's win chance fell from 80% to 44%.Dodson kickoff return TD, Tennessee goes ahead 28-27
- 5Q4 0:03 · Illinois 30, Tennessee 28Illinois's win chance rose from 37% to 100%.Olano 29-yd field goal, Illinois wins it 30-28
Illinois's lowest chance to win was 27 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:03 left in the 4th quarter, Illinois's chance to win went from 37 percent to 99 percent when Illinois kicked a field goal.
The score went from Illinois 27, Tennessee 28 to Illinois 30, Tennessee 28.
The play: Olano 29-yd field goal, Illinois wins it 30-28.
What happened next
Illinois finished the 2025 season 9-4.
Tennessee finished the 2025 season 8-5.
Illinois's first game of the 2026 season: W 42-23 vs UAB, Sep 3, 2026
about 8 months laterTennessee's first game of the 2026 season: W 56-9 vs Furman, Sep 5, 2026
about 8 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.