The Zeitgeist List · coaching

Charlie Partridge

Followed Carl Pelini. Charlie Partridge held Florida Atlantic at Regional Program IV for 3 seasons.

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2014–2016 · 1 stint

Career arc

His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.

Reached Regional Program in his 1st career season — faster than 20% of the 925 FBS coaches who have ever reached Regional Program (rank #1 of 925 by seasons-to-arrival).

Florida Atlantic, 3 seasons

+0.3

Regional Program IV → Regional Program IV.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered seasonfull season-to-season range (3+ covered seasons)

How much that is, against every other stint

Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.

Typical stint7.010.2 median13.9middle half of all stints

Florida Atlantic1.5pt#254 of 258 · less than most

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

Winless in 3 tries against Doc Holliday.

One-score games

4–12

25.0% · margin ≤8

vs. Blue Blood or better

0–1

0.0%

The toughest matchup

vs. Doc Holliday0–3

3 meetings, 2014–2016

’14 L · blew a 6-pt lead’15 L’16 L

0% win rate across a real, 3-meeting series — short of the bar this site uses before badging a series “Nemesis.” Shown here as the toughest matchup on record, not an algorithmic crown.

Performance by opponent class

Dynasty

0–1 0.0%

Blue Blood

0–1 0.0%

Power Program

0–4 0.0%

National Program

0–4 0.0%

Regional Program

8–17 32.0%

His own effect, isolated

A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.

Offense marginal impact

-0.22

#245 of 319 · less than most

Defense marginal impact

-0.24

#280 of 325 · less than most

Model fit as of 2026-09-04.

Coaching career

2014–2016

Florida Atlanticcaretaker

Regional Program IV → Regional Program IV

Charlie Partridge held Florida Atlantic at Regional Program IV for 3 seasons.

7th-best Florida Atlantic tenure of 9 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Underperforms his recruiting talent on offense and performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on defense.

Offense vs. talent

-14.8 pts

#162 of 208 · less than most

Defense vs. talent

-12.2 pts

#155 of 208 · a typical amount

Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.

Followed Carl Pelini (2012–2013) · succeeded by Lane Kiffin (2017–2019).

Season	2014	2015	2016
Record & result
Record	3–9	3–9	3–9
Postseason	—	—	—
Recruiting rank	#94	#79	#89
Style — pass rate
Pass rate	45.2	44.0	43.7
Coordinators
OC	Brian Wright	Brian Wright	Travis Trickett
DC	Roc Bellantoni	Roc Bellantoni	Roc Bellantoni
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense	34	13	45
Defense	21	64	0
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only)
1st-down pass%	44.8	43.7	40.8
Red-zone pass%	31.1	44.4	28.9
4th-down go%opp. territory	25.0	41.1	22.9

Does the system survive a coordinator change?

OC: Brian Wright → Travis Trickett · 2016

1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.

1st-down pass rate: 43.7% → 40.8% (-2.9 pts)

Confound, shown not hidden: only 42% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.

Where the roster comes from, by position

Grows Tight end from high school

100%

#164 of 188 stints

Grows Edge from high school

100%

#191 of 208 stints

4 NFL Draft picks: Keith Reaser (2014), Randell Johnson (2014), D'Joun Smith (2015), Trey Hendrickson (2017)

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