The Zeitgeist List · coaching

Jeff Scott

Followed Charlie Strong. Jeff Scott slid South Florida from National Program III to Regional Program I in 3 seasons.

4–26

2020–2022 · 1 stint

Career arc

His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.

Reached Regional Program in his 1st career season — faster than 20% of the 925 FBS coaches who have ever reached Regional Program (rank #1 of 925 by seasons-to-arrival).

South Florida, 3 seasons

−7.8

Regional Program I → Regional Program II.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered seasonfull season-to-season range (3+ covered seasons)

How much that is, against every other stint

Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.

Typical stint7.010.2 median13.9middle half of all stints

South Florida6.0pt#214 of 258 · less than most

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

0–2 against his rivals.

Rivalry record

0–2

0.0% · 1 rival

One-score games

0–5

0.0% · margin ≤8

Rivalry ledger

UCF0–20%

Performance by opponent class

Power Program

0–3 0.0%

National Program

0–7 0.0%

Regional Program

1–6 14.3%

His own effect, isolated

A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.

Offense marginal impact

-0.15

#214 of 319 · a typical amount

Defense marginal impact

-0.44

#316 of 325 · less than most

Model fit as of 2026-09-04.

Coaching career

2020–2022

South Floridacaretaker

National Program III → Regional Program I

Jeff Scott slid South Florida from National Program III to Regional Program I in 3 seasons.

8th-best South Florida tenure of 9 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on offense and underperforms his recruiting talent on defense.

Offense vs. talent

-9.5 pts

#149 of 208 · a typical amount

Defense vs. talent

-35.1 pts

#202 of 208 · less than most

Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.

Followed Charlie Strong (2017–2019) · succeeded by Alex Golesh (2023–2025).

Season	2020	2021	2022
Record & result
Record	1–8	2–10	1–8
Postseason	—	—	—
Recruiting rank	#101	#63	#90
Style — pass rate
Pass rate	48.1	42.1	42.4
Coordinators
OC	Charlie Weis Jr.	Charlie Weis Jr.	Travis Trickett
DC	Glenn Spencer	Glenn Spencer	Ernie Sims
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense	21	30	68
Defense	30	10	1
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only)
1st-down pass%	45.7	44.6	37.8
Red-zone pass%	41.4	27.8	30.6
4th-down go%opp. territory	41.4	51.2	44.4

Roster construction · portal era

A typical amount of portal roster-building.

Portal arrivals

3.0★ avg rating

Portal departures

left via the portal

Net portal flow

-13

#93 of 187 FBS stints

Who they bring in

Brings in bigger-than-position-typical players than most.

Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.

Avg. size (raw)

6′2″, 244 lbs

across 16 of 26 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix

Size vs. position-typical

+10.9 lbs

#2 of 255 · more than most

Avg. class year

#30 of 255 · more than most

Top states: FL (7), GA (2), SC (2), PA (1), MI (1)

Who won the portal our read

Talent added

54.2

position-weighted

Talent lost

49.5

position-weighted

Net

+4.6

arrivals minus departures

Best addition: Gerry Bohanon (QB) from Baylor

Biggest loss: Katravis Marsh (QB) to South Florida

Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.

Roster size, by position

Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)

Quarterback

213 lbs

6′2″ avg · #370 of 767 · a typical amount

Running back

191 lbs

5′9″ avg · #778 of 791 · less than most

Wide receiver

185 lbs

6′0″ avg · #713 of 791 · less than most

Tight end

242 lbs

6′4″ avg · #498 of 731 · a typical amount

Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters

Interior line

310 lbs

6′4″ avg · #321 of 779 · a typical amount

D-line

280 lbs

6′3″ avg · #457 of 753 · a typical amount

Linebacker

224 lbs

6′2″ avg · #597 of 772 · less than most

Cornerback

190 lbs

6′0″ avg · #416 of 771 · a typical amount

Safety

194 lbs

6′1″ avg · #247 of 346 · a typical amount

Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.

1 player-season honored (All-America / national award): Brian Battie (2021)

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