Kevin Wilson
Followed Philip Montgomery. Kevin Wilson slid Tulsa from Regional Program I to Regional Program II in 2 seasons.
Career arc
His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.
Reached Regional Program in his 1st career season — faster than 20% of the 925 FBS coaches who have ever reached Regional Program (rank #1 of 925 by seasons-to-arrival).
Style position and drift
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
3–1 against his rivals. Winless in 5 tries against Mark Dantonio.
His own effect, isolated
A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.
Model fit as of 2026-09-04.
Coaching career
18th-best Tulsa tenure of 22 by the numbers.
Underperforms his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
Followed Philip Montgomery (2015–2022) · succeeded by Tre Lamb (2025–2026).
| Season | 2023 | 2024 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||
| Record | 4–8 | 3–8 | |
| Postseason | — | — | |
| Recruiting rank | #114 | #54 | |
| Style — pass rate | |||
| Pass rate | 38.8 | 49.3 | |
| Coordinators | |||
| OC | Steve Spurrier Jr. | Steve Spurrier Jr. | |
| DC | Chris Polizzi | Chris Polizzi | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||
| Offense | 43 | 7 | |
| Defense | 5 | 0 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only) | |||
| 1st-down pass% | 29.4 | 38.5 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 42.6 | 47.8 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 20.0 | 41.2 | |
A typical amount of portal roster-building.
Brings in smaller-than-position-typical players than most.
Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.
11th-best Indiana tenure of 16 by the numbers.
Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
Followed Bill Lynch (2007–2010).
| Season | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||||
| Record | 1–11 | 4–8 | 5–7 | 4–8 | 6–7 | 6–6 | |
| Postseason | — | — | — | — | L bowl | L bowl | |
| Recruiting rank | — | — | — | #48 | #53 | #53 | |
| Style — pass rate | |||||||
| Pass rate | — | — | — | 36.7 | 43.8 | 46.1 | |
| Coordinators | |||||||
| OC | — | — | — | Kevin Johns | Kevin Johns | Kevin Johns | |
| DC | — | — | — | Brian Knorr | Brian Knorr | Tom Allen | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||||
| Offense | — | — | — | 45 | 77 | 23 | |
| Defense | — | — | — | 54 | 18 | 71 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only) | |||||||
| 1st-down pass% | — | — | — | 32.5 | 36.2 | 38.3 | |
| Red-zone pass% | — | — | — | 22.7 | 35.1 | 30.7 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | — | — | — | 30.0 | 36.7 | 40.0 | |
9 NFL Draft picks: James Brewer (2011), Tandon Doss (2011), Cody Latimer (2014), Ted Bolser (2014), Tevin Coleman (2015), Jason Spriggs (2016), Jordan Howard (2016), Nate Sudfeld (2016) + 1 more