The Zeitgeist List · Coordinators · Never a head coach

Andy Kotelnicki.

Offensive coordinator · 11 seasons · 6 stints · 3 programs4 seasons ranked in the national top 10%
Own effect on the unit
Offense+0.24not distinguishable from zero
model fit as of 2026-09-04

The tenure clock

Every stop re-aligned to its own first year, so the stops stack instead of scrolling past each other. The gray dashed line is a reference, not a path: each point is the median of whoever was still in the job that year, across every real OC/DC stint since 2014 at that role, and the pool shrinks year over year because surviving to a later year means not having been fired.

100th — best in the country90th — elite — top 10%75th — top quarter50th — national median25th — bottom quarter0 — worst in the countryHis offense’s national rank, by year of tenureYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year of that tenure, not calendar yearn=755n=426n=222n=113n=65n=32Buffalo, year 1: 34th percentileBuffalo, year 2: 13th percentileBuffalo, year 3: 67th percentileBuffalo, year 4: 80th percentileBuffalo, year 5: 75th percentileBuffalo, year 6: 94th percentileBuffaloKansas, year 1: 20th percentileKansas, year 2: 91st percentileKansas, year 3: 97th percentileKansasPenn State, year 1: 97th percentilePenn State, year 2: 85th percentilePenn Statemedian still in the job
Buffalo 2015–2020
Kansas 2021–2023
Penn State 2024–2025
Median of those still in the job, that year of a tenure. A shrinking pool, not a path.
Buffalo, 6 years
▲ 60.1
34.0 to 94.1 percentile.
Kansas, 3 years
▲ 77.0
20.4 to 97.4 percentile.
Penn State, 2 years
▼ 12.5
97.4 to 84.9 percentile.
Median offensive coordinator
+0.5
first season to last, across 222 stints of 3+ years. 50.9% improve at all.

Every stop on the calendar

YearsProgramWalked intoYear 1BestVs. talent
2015–2016Buffalo66.034.034.0▼ 11.2
2017–2020Buffalo12.966.594.1▲ 43.9
2021–2022Kansas0.420.491.2▲ 6.8
2023–2023Kansas91.297.497.4▲ 46.3
2024–2024Penn State85.397.497.4▲ 31.8
2025–2025Penn State97.484.984.9▲ 18.8

Buffalo 2015–2016: ranked 66th the year before he arrived, 34th at its best — went backwards.

Penn State 2025–2025: ranked 97th the year before he arrived, 85th at its best — went backwards.

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