The Zeitgeist List · coordinators · never a head coach

Keith Patterson.

Defensive coordinator · 7 seasons · 5 stints · 3 programs1 season ranked in the national top 10%
Own effect on the unit
Defense−0.60#458 of 458 · less than most

The tenure clock

Every stop re-aligned to its own first year, so the stops stack instead of scrolling past each other. The gray dashed line is a reference, not a path: each point is the median of whoever was still in the job that year, across every real OC/DC stint since 2014 at that role, and the pool shrinks year over year because surviving to a later year means not having been fired.

100th — best in the country90th — elite — top 10%75th — top quarter50th — national median25th — bottom quarter0 — worst in the countryHis defense’s national rank, by year of tenureYear 1Year 2Year 3Year of that tenure, not calendar yearn=659n=400n=218median still in the jobnot a pathArizona State, year 1: 79th percentileArizona State, year 2: 13th percentileArizona State, year 3: 7th percentileArizona StUtah State, year 1: 93rd percentileUtah StateTexas Tech, year 1: 17th percentileTexas Tech, year 2: 41st percentileTexas Tech, year 3: 15th percentileTexas Tech
Arizona State 2014–2016
Utah State 2018–2018
Texas Tech 2019–2021
Median of those still in the job, that year of a tenure. A shrinking pool, not a path.
Arizona State, 3 years
−71.9
79.3 to 7.4 percentile.
Texas Tech, 3 years
−1.5
16.5 to 15.0 percentile.
Median defensive coordinator
+1.0
first season to last, across 239 stints of 3+ years. 52.3% improve at all.

Every stop on the calendar

YearsProgramWalked intoYear 1BestVs. talent
2014–2015Arizona Stateno record79.379.3−45.7
2016–2016Arizona State12.97.47.4−51.7
2018–2018Utah State86.592.792.7+50.6
2019–2019Texas Tech42.716.516.5−34.7
2020–2021Texas Tech16.541.341.3−24.1

No prior-season record for the first stop (Arizona State, 2014) — the data floor starts there.

Arizona State 2016–2016: ranked 13th the year before he arrived, 7th at its best — went backwards.

Texas Tech 2019–2019: ranked 43rd the year before he arrived, 17th at its best — went backwards.

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