The Zeitgeist List · Coordinators · Never a head coach

Matt Barnes.

Defensive coordinator · 4 seasons · 2 stints · 2 programs0 seasons ranked in the national top 10%
Own effect on the unit
Defense+0.22not distinguishable from zero
model fit as of 2026-09-04

The tenure clock

Every stop re-aligned to its own first year, so the stops stack instead of scrolling past each other. The gray dashed line is a reference, not a path: each point is the median of whoever was still in the job that year, across every real OC/DC stint since 2014 at that role, and the pool shrinks year over year because surviving to a later year means not having been fired.

100th — best in the country90th — elite — top 10%75th — top quarter50th — national median25th — bottom quarter0 — worst in the countryHis defense’s national rank, by year of tenureYear 1Year 2Year of that tenure, not calendar yearn=730n=430Memphis, year 1: 88th percentileMemphis, year 2: 46th percentileMemphisMississippi State, year 1: 10th percentileMississippi State, year 2: 14th percentileMississippi …median still in the job
Memphis 2022–2023
Mississippi State 2024–2025
Median of those still in the job, that year of a tenure. A shrinking pool, not a path.
Memphis, 2 years
▼ 41.9
88.2 to 46.2 percentile.
Mississippi State, 2 years
▲ 3.5
10.1 to 13.6 percentile.
Median defensive coordinator
+0.5
first season to last, across 235 stints of 3+ years. 50.6% improve at all.

Every stop on the calendar

YearsProgramWalked intoYear 1BestVs. talent
2022–2023Memphis41.288.288.2▲ 17.4
2024–2025Mississippi State73.310.113.6▼ 46.3

Mississippi State 2024–2025: ranked 73rd the year before he arrived, 14th at its best — went backwards.

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