The Zeitgeist List · coordinators · never a head coach

Rob Likens.

Offensive coordinator · 7 seasons · 5 stints · 3 programs1 season ranked in the national top 10%
Own effect on the unit
Offense−0.24#468 of 472 · less than most

The tenure clock

Every stop re-aligned to its own first year, so the stops stack instead of scrolling past each other. The gray dashed line is a reference, not a path: each point is the median of whoever was still in the job that year, across every real OC/DC stint since 2014 at that role, and the pool shrinks year over year because surviving to a later year means not having been fired.

100th — best in the country90th — elite — top 10%75th — top quarter50th — national median25th — bottom quarter0 — worst in the countryHis offense’s national rank, by year of tenureYear 1Year 2Year 3Year of that tenure, not calendar yearn=691n=405n=203median still in the jobnot a pathKansas, year 1: 2nd percentileKansas, year 2: 4th percentileKansasArizona State, year 1: 70th percentileArizona State, year 2: 17th percentileArizona StateSMU, year 1: 88th percentileSMU, year 2: 67th percentileSMU, year 3: 90th percentileSMU
Kansas 2015–2016
Arizona State 2018–2019
SMU 2023–2026
Median of those still in the job, that year of a tenure. A shrinking pool, not a path.
Kansas, 2 years
+1.6
2.0 to 3.5 percentile.
Arizona State, 2 years
−53.1
70.4 to 17.3 percentile.
SMU, 4 years
+2.5
87.6 to 90.1 percentile.
Median offensive coordinator
+4.7
first season to last, across 222 stints of 3+ years. 52.7% improve at all.

Every stop on the calendar

YearsProgramWalked intoYear 1BestVs. talent
2015–2016Kansas15.22.03.5−45.9
2018–2019Arizona State73.570.470.4−14.4
2023–2023SMU78.287.687.6+30.1
2024–2025SMU87.666.890.1+18.4
2026–2026SMUno record

Kansas 2015–2016: ranked 15th the year before he arrived, 4th at its best — went backwards.

Arizona State 2018–2019: ranked 73rd the year before he arrived, 70th at its best — went backwards.

SMU: just hired, no season coached yet.

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