Regular season ·
Cincinnati beat UCLA
Records are after this game.
Cincinnati beat UCLA by 9 points.
How the game turned
Q4 9:45 Cincinnati 19, UCLA 17
Cincinnati 70% to win
Safety
Big moments
- 1Q1 (no clock) · Cincinnati 0, UCLA 0Cincinnati's win chance fell from 53% to 40%.Moore sacked, fumbles
- 2Q1 7:38 · Cincinnati 0, UCLA 7Cincinnati's win chance fell from 44% to 41%.Olorunfunmi 1-yd TD run, UCLA goes ahead 7-0
- 3Q2 6:57 · Cincinnati 14, UCLA 10Cincinnati's win chance rose from 47% to 66%.Warren 1-yd TD run, Cincinnati goes ahead 14-10
- 4Q3 12:49 · Cincinnati 17, UCLA 17Cincinnati's win chance fell from 75% to 56%.Allen 74-yd TD run, ties it 17-17
- 5Q4 9:45 · Cincinnati 19, UCLA 17Cincinnati's win chance rose from 34% to 70%.Safety
Cincinnati's lowest chance to win was 24 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 9:45 left in the 4th quarter, Cincinnati's chance to win went from 34 percent to 70 percent when Cincinnati scored.
The score went from Cincinnati 17, UCLA 17 to Cincinnati 19, UCLA 17.
What happened next
Cincinnati's next game: W 21-0 at Miami (OH), Sep 8
7 days laterUCLA's next game: L 21-49 at Oklahoma, Sep 8
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Sep 1, 2018: Cincinnati 24, UCLA 14, Aug 29, 2019
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

