Regular season ·
Arizona State beat Michigan State
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Arizona State had a 8 percent chance to win with 0:40 left in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 16-13, September 8, 2018.
How the game turned
Q4 0:00 Arizona State 16, Michigan State 13
Arizona State 100% to win
Ruiz 28-yd field goal, Arizona State wins it 16-13
Big moments
- 1Q2 13:19 · Arizona State 0, Michigan State 3Arizona State's win chance fell from 38% to 33%.Coghlin 37-yd field goal, Michigan State goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q3 1:27 · Arizona State 3, Michigan State 13Arizona State's win chance fell from 22% to 9%.Lewerke 31-yd TD pass to White, Michigan State leads 13-3
- 3Q4 8:45 · Arizona State 13, Michigan State 13Arizona State's win chance rose from 14% to 39%.Wilkins 27-yd TD pass to Harry, ties it 13-13
- 4Q4 0:00 · Arizona State 16, Michigan State 13Arizona State's win chance rose from 84% to 100%.Ruiz 28-yd field goal, Arizona State wins it 16-13
Arizona State's lowest chance to win was 8 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
How the lead changed
Arizona State took the lead for good with 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Arizona State 16, Michigan State 13.
What happened next
Michigan State went from No. 15 to No. 25 in the next AP poll.
Arizona State's next game: L 21-28 at San Diego State, Sep 15
7 days laterMichigan State's next game: W 35-21 at Indiana, Sep 22
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Sep 8, 2018: Arizona State 10, Michigan State 7, Sep 14, 2019
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.