Regular season ·

Michigan State beat Penn State

Michigan State4-221
No. 8 Penn State4-217Final
Sat, Oct 13 · Beaver Stadium, University Park, Pa. · Crowd 106,685 · 50°, cloudyBTN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Michigan State beat No. 8 Penn State by 4 points.

Penn State was No. 8 in the AP poll before the game; Michigan State was not ranked.

How the game turned

Michigan State aheadPenn State aheadBiggest swingLow: 6%
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Q4 0:19 Michigan State 21, Penn State 17

Michigan State 60% to win

Lewerke 25-yd TD pass to Davis, Michigan State goes ahead 21-17

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 5:03 · Michigan State 0, Penn State 7Michigan State's win chance fell from 20% to 13%.McSorley 5-yd TD pass to Hamler, Penn State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 4:33 · Michigan State 7, Penn State 14Michigan State's win chance fell from 23% to 14%.Sanders 48-yd TD run, Penn State goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q3 6:10 · Michigan State 14, Penn State 14Michigan State's win chance rose from 19% to 29%.Lewerke 20-yd TD pass to Davis, ties it 14-14
  4. 4Q4 9:21 · Michigan State 14, Penn State 17Michigan State's win chance fell from 40% to 25%.Pinegar 20-yd field goal, Penn State goes ahead 17-14
  5. 5Q4 0:19 · Michigan State 21, Penn State 17Michigan State's win chance rose from 37% to 60%.Lewerke 25-yd TD pass to Davis, Michigan State goes ahead 21-17

Michigan State's lowest chance to win was 6 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:19 left in the 4th quarter, Michigan State's chance to win went from 37 percent to 60 percent when Michigan State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Michigan State 14, Penn State 17 to Michigan State 21, Penn State 17.

The play: Lewerke 25-yd TD pass to Davis, Michigan State goes ahead 21-17.

What happened next

  1. Penn State went from No. 8 to No. 18 in the next AP poll.

  2. Michigan State's next game: L 7-21 vs Michigan, Oct 20

    7 days later

  3. Penn State's next game: W 33-28 at Indiana, Oct 20

    7 days later

  4. The teams' next meeting after Oct 13, 2018: Penn State 28, Michigan State 7, Oct 26, 2019

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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