Regular season ·

Baylor beat Kansas State

Kansas State2-434
Baylor4-237Final
Sat, Oct 6 · McLane Stadium, Waco, Texas · Crowd 36,888 · 88°FS1

Records are after this game.

Baylor beat Kansas State by 3 points.

How the game turned

Baylor aheadKansas State aheadLow: 17%

Q4 6:41 Baylor 34, Kansas State 27

Baylor 86% to win

Williams 21-yd TD run, Baylor goes ahead 34-27

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 9:04 · Baylor 3, Kansas State 7Baylor's win chance fell from 63% to 50%.Barnes 55-yd TD run, Kansas State goes ahead 7-3
  2. 2Q2 9:47 · Baylor 12, Kansas State 7Baylor's win chance rose from 56% to 70%.Brewer 3-yd TD run, Baylor goes ahead 12-7
  3. 3Q2 5:50 · Baylor 12, Kansas State 14Baylor's win chance fell from 70% to 61%.Barnes 34-yd TD run, Kansas State goes ahead 14-12
  4. 4Q3 14:28 · Baylor 20, Kansas State 14Baylor's win chance rose from 65% to 71%.Hurd 1-yd TD run, two-point try good, Baylor goes ahead 20-14
  5. 5Q4 10:38 · Baylor 20, Kansas State 27Baylor's win chance fell from 46% to 18%.Thompson 52-yd TD run, Kansas State goes ahead 27-20
  6. 6Q4 6:41 · Baylor 34, Kansas State 27Baylor's win chance rose from 71% to 86%.Williams 21-yd TD run, Baylor goes ahead 34-27
  7. 7Q4 4:26 · Baylor 34, Kansas State 34Baylor's win chance fell from 80% to 42%.Thompson 28-yd TD pass to Warmack, ties it 34-34
  8. 8Q4 0:08 · Baylor 37, Kansas State 34Baylor's win chance rose from 55% to 63%.Martin 29-yd field goal, Baylor goes ahead 37-34

Baylor's lowest chance to win was 17 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Baylor took the lead for good with 0:08 left in the 4th quarter, Baylor 37, Kansas State 34.

What happened next

  1. Baylor's next game: L 17-23 at Texas, Oct 13

    7 days later
  2. Kansas State's next game: W 31-12 vs Oklahoma State, Oct 13

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 6, 2018: Baylor 31, Kansas State 12, Oct 5, 2019

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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