Regular season ·
Baylor beat Kansas State
Records are after this game.
Baylor beat Kansas State by 3 points.
How the game turned
Q4 6:41 Baylor 34, Kansas State 27
Baylor 86% to win
Williams 21-yd TD run, Baylor goes ahead 34-27
Big moments
- 1Q1 9:04 · Baylor 3, Kansas State 7Baylor's win chance fell from 63% to 50%.Barnes 55-yd TD run, Kansas State goes ahead 7-3
- 2Q2 9:47 · Baylor 12, Kansas State 7Baylor's win chance rose from 56% to 70%.Brewer 3-yd TD run, Baylor goes ahead 12-7
- 3Q2 5:50 · Baylor 12, Kansas State 14Baylor's win chance fell from 70% to 61%.Barnes 34-yd TD run, Kansas State goes ahead 14-12
- 4Q3 14:28 · Baylor 20, Kansas State 14Baylor's win chance rose from 65% to 71%.Hurd 1-yd TD run, two-point try good, Baylor goes ahead 20-14
- 5Q4 10:38 · Baylor 20, Kansas State 27Baylor's win chance fell from 46% to 18%.Thompson 52-yd TD run, Kansas State goes ahead 27-20
- 6Q4 6:41 · Baylor 34, Kansas State 27Baylor's win chance rose from 71% to 86%.Williams 21-yd TD run, Baylor goes ahead 34-27
- 7Q4 4:26 · Baylor 34, Kansas State 34Baylor's win chance fell from 80% to 42%.Thompson 28-yd TD pass to Warmack, ties it 34-34
- 8Q4 0:08 · Baylor 37, Kansas State 34Baylor's win chance rose from 55% to 63%.Martin 29-yd field goal, Baylor goes ahead 37-34
Baylor's lowest chance to win was 17 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
How the lead changed
Baylor took the lead for good with 0:08 left in the 4th quarter, Baylor 37, Kansas State 34.
What happened next
Baylor's next game: L 17-23 at Texas, Oct 13
7 days laterKansas State's next game: W 31-12 vs Oklahoma State, Oct 13
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 6, 2018: Baylor 31, Kansas State 12, Oct 5, 2019
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

