Regular season ·
Baylor beat Oklahoma State
Records are after this game.
Baylor had a 4 percent chance to win in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 35-31, November 3, 2018.
How the game turned
Q4 0:07 Baylor 35, Oklahoma State 31
Baylor 100% to win
Brewer 6-yd TD pass to Mims, Baylor wins it 35-31
Big moments
- 1Q1 7:47 · Baylor 0, Oklahoma State 7Baylor's win chance fell from 28% to 21%.Cornelius 6-yd TD run, Oklahoma State goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 4:42 · Baylor 7, Oklahoma State 10Baylor's win chance fell from 35% to 32%.Ammendola 19-yd field goal, Oklahoma State goes ahead 10-7
- 3Q3 4:44 · Baylor 14, Oklahoma State 17Baylor's win chance fell from 47% to 27%.Wallace 6-yd TD run, Oklahoma State goes ahead 17-14
- 4Q4 8:55 · Baylor 21, Oklahoma State 31Baylor's win chance fell from 26% to 5%.Hill 2-yd TD run, Oklahoma State leads 31-21
- 5Q4 0:07 · Baylor 35, Oklahoma State 31Baylor's win chance rose from 48% to 100%.Brewer 6-yd TD pass to Mims, Baylor wins it 35-31
Baylor's lowest chance to win was 4 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:07 left in the 4th quarter, Baylor's chance to win went from 48 percent to 99 percent when Baylor scored a touchdown.
The score went from Baylor 28, Oklahoma State 31 to Baylor 35, Oklahoma State 31.
The play: Brewer 6-yd TD pass to Mims, Baylor wins it 35-31.
What happened next
Baylor's next game: L 14-28 at Iowa State, Nov 10
7 days laterOklahoma State's next game: L 47-48 at Oklahoma, Nov 10
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 3, 2018: Baylor 45, Oklahoma State 27, Oct 19, 2019
about 11 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.