Regular season ·

Ohio State beat TCU

No. 4 Ohio State3-040
No. 15 TCU2-128Final
Sat, Sep 15 · AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas (neutral site) · Crowd 64,362 · IndoorsABC

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 4 Ohio State beat No. 15 TCU by 12 points.

It was played at a neutral site: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX.

How the game turned

Ohio State aheadTCU aheadBiggest swing
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Q3 5:54 Ohio State 26, TCU 21

Ohio State 89% to win

Jones return TD, Ohio State goes ahead 26-21

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 13:20 · Ohio State 3, TCU 0Ohio State's win chance rose from 80% to 84%.Nuernberger 20-yd field goal, Ohio State goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 9:08 · Ohio State 10, TCU 14Ohio State's win chance fell from 81% to 66%.Anderson 93-yd TD run, TCU goes ahead 14-10
  3. 3Q3 10:43 · Ohio State 13, TCU 21Ohio State's win chance fell from 66% to 45%.Anderson 16-yd TD run, TCU leads 21-13
  4. 4Q3 5:54 · Ohio State 26, TCU 21Ohio State's win chance rose from 65% to 89%.Jones return TD, Ohio State goes ahead 26-21
  5. 5Q4 12:30 · Ohio State 40, TCU 28Ohio State's win chance rose from 84% to 97%.Haskins 5-yd TD run, Ohio State leads 40-28

Ohio State's lowest chance to win was 37 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 5:54 left in the 3rd quarter, Ohio State's chance to win went from 65 percent to 88 percent when Ohio State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Ohio State 19, TCU 21 to Ohio State 26, TCU 21.

The play: Jones return TD, Ohio State goes ahead 26-21.

What happened next

  1. Ohio State's next game: W 49-6 vs Tulane, Sep 22

    7 days later

  2. TCU's next game: L 16-31 at Texas, Sep 22

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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