Regular season ·

Duke beat Northwestern

Duke2-021
Northwestern1-17Final
Sat, Sep 8 · Ryan Field, Evanston, Ill. · Crowd 40,654 · 68°, overcastESPNU

Records are after this game.

Duke beat Northwestern by 14 points.

How the game turned

Duke aheadNorthwestern aheadBiggest swingLow: 20%

Q2 2:18 Duke 21, Northwestern 7

Duke 83% to win

Jones 7-yd TD pass to Koppenhaver, Duke leads 21-7

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 9:50 · Duke 0, Northwestern 7Duke's win chance fell from 34% to 29%.Larkin 2-yd TD run, Northwestern goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 8:40 · Duke 14, Northwestern 7Duke's win chance rose from 52% to 65%.Jones 52-yd TD pass to Lloyd, Duke goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q2 2:18 · Duke 21, Northwestern 7Duke's win chance rose from 68% to 83%.Jones 7-yd TD pass to Koppenhaver, Duke leads 21-7

Duke's lowest chance to win was 20 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 2:18 left in the 2nd quarter, Duke's chance to win went from 68 percent to 83 percent when Duke scored a touchdown.

The score went from Duke 14, Northwestern 7 to Duke 21, Northwestern 7.

The play: Jones 7-yd TD pass to Koppenhaver, Duke leads 21-7.

What happened next

  1. Duke's next game: W 40-27 at Baylor, Sep 15

    7 days later
  2. Northwestern's next game: L 34-39 vs Akron, Sep 15

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 8, 2018: Duke 30, Northwestern 23, Sep 18, 2021

    about 3 years later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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