Regular season ·
Miami beat Florida State
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Miami trailed Florida State by 20 points in the 3rd quarter and won 28-27, October 6, 2018.
How the game turned
Q4 11:52 Miami 28, Florida State 27
Miami 67% to win
Perry 41-yd TD pass to Jordan, Miami goes ahead 28-27
Big moments
- 1Q1 9:41 · Miami 0, Florida State 7Miami's win chance fell from 71% to 67%.Francois 17-yd TD pass to Gavin, Florida State goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 4:20 · Miami 7, Florida State 10Aguayo 42-yd field goal, Florida State goes ahead 10-7
- 3Q2 0:36 · Miami 7, Florida State 17Miami's win chance fell from 49% to 27%.Perry incomplete, turnover on downs
- 4Q3 4:11 · Miami 21, Florida State 27Miami's win chance rose from 22% to 39%.Perry 17-yd TD pass to Thomas, cuts it to 27-21
- 5Q4 11:52 · Miami 28, Florida State 27Miami's win chance rose from 20% to 67%.Perry 41-yd TD pass to Jordan, Miami goes ahead 28-27
Miami's lowest chance to win was 5 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 11:52 left in the 4th quarter, Miami's chance to win went from 20 percent to 67 percent when Miami scored a touchdown.
The score went from Miami 21, Florida State 27 to Miami 28, Florida State 27.
The play: Perry 41-yd TD pass to Jordan, Miami goes ahead 28-27.
What happened next
Miami's next game: L 13-16 at Virginia, Oct 13
7 days laterFlorida State's next game: W 38-17 vs Wake Forest, Oct 20
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 6, 2018: Miami 27, Florida State 10, Nov 2, 2019
about 13 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.