Regular season ·
Wake Forest beat NC State
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Wake Forest had a 3 percent chance to win with 12:30 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 27-23, November 8, 2018.
How the game turned
Q4 0:30 Wake Forest 27, NC State 23
Wake Forest 70% to win
Newman 32-yd TD pass to Freudenthal, Wake Forest goes ahead 27-23
Big moments
- 1Q1 12:42 · Wake Forest 0, NC State 3Dunn 29-yd field goal, NC State goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q3 2:05 · Wake Forest 13, NC State 16Wake Forest's win chance rose from 4% to 17%.Newman 38-yd TD pass to Bachman, cuts it to 16-13
- 3Q4 6:07 · Wake Forest 20, NC State 23Wake Forest's win chance rose from 8% to 27%.Newman 19-yd TD pass to Dortch, cuts it to 23-20
- 4Q4 0:30 · Wake Forest 27, NC State 23Wake Forest's win chance rose from 32% to 70%.Newman 32-yd TD pass to Freudenthal, Wake Forest goes ahead 27-23
Wake Forest's lowest chance to win was 3 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:30 left in the 4th quarter, Wake Forest's chance to win went from 32 percent to 70 percent when Wake Forest scored a touchdown.
The score went from Wake Forest 20, NC State 23 to Wake Forest 27, NC State 23.
The play: Newman 32-yd TD pass to Freudenthal, Wake Forest goes ahead 27-23.
What happened next
Wake Forest's next game: L 13-34 vs Pittsburgh, Nov 17
9 days laterNC State's next game: W 52-10 at Louisville, Nov 17
9 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 8, 2018: Wake Forest 44, NC State 10, Nov 2, 2019
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.