Regular season ·
Northwestern beat Nebraska
Records are after this game.
Northwestern had a 3 percent chance to win with 5:24 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 34-31 in overtime, October 13, 2018.
How the game turned
OT1 Northwestern 34, Nebraska 31
Northwestern 100% to win
Luckenbaugh 37-yd field goal, Northwestern wins it 34-31
Big moments
- 1Q1 13:32 · Northwestern 0, Nebraska 7Northwestern's win chance fell from 48% to 43%.Martinez 42-yd TD pass to Spielman, Nebraska goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q3 7:07 · Northwestern 14, Nebraska 20Northwestern's win chance fell from 61% to 26%.Ozigbo 1-yd TD run, Nebraska goes ahead 20-14
- 3Q4 13:40 · Northwestern 14, Nebraska 28Northwestern's win chance fell from 19% to 5%.Washington 3-yd TD run, two-point try good, Nebraska leads 28-14
- 4Q4 0:12 · Northwestern 31, Nebraska 31Northwestern's win chance rose from 20% to 33%.Thorson 5-yd TD pass to Jefferson, ties it 31-31
- 5OT1 · Northwestern 34, Nebraska 31Northwestern's win chance rose from 47% to 100%.Luckenbaugh 37-yd field goal, Northwestern wins it 34-31
Northwestern's lowest chance to win was 3 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
In overtime, Northwestern's chance to win went from 47 percent to 99 percent when Northwestern kicked a field goal.
The score went from Northwestern 31, Nebraska 31 to Northwestern 34, Nebraska 31.
The play: Luckenbaugh 37-yd field goal, Northwestern wins it 34-31.
What happened next
Northwestern's next game: W 18-15 at Rutgers, Oct 20
7 days laterNebraska's next game: W 53-28 vs Minnesota, Oct 20
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 13, 2018: Nebraska 13, Northwestern 10, Oct 5, 2019
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.