Regular season ·
Ohio State beat Penn State
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Ohio State had a 6 percent chance to win with 7:59 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 27-26, September 29, 2018.
Ohio State was No. 4 and Penn State No. 9 in the AP poll before the game.
How the game turned
Q4 2:03 Ohio State 27, Penn State 26
Ohio State 60% to win
Haskins 24-yd TD pass to Hill
Big moments
- 1Q1 4:58 · Ohio State 0, Penn State 3Ohio State's win chance fell from 56% to 54%.Pinegar 34-yd field goal, Penn State goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q3 10:22 · Ohio State 14, Penn State 13Ohio State's win chance rose from 40% to 70%.J.K. Dobbins 4 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)
- 3Q4 12:22 · Ohio State 14, Penn State 20Ohio State's win chance fell from 44% to 27%.McSorley 2-yd TD pass to Freiermuth, Penn State goes ahead 20-14
- 4Q4 2:03 · Ohio State 27, Penn State 26Ohio State's win chance rose from 25% to 60%.Haskins 24-yd TD pass to Hill
- 5Q4 1:16 · Ohio State 27, Penn State 26Ohio State's win chance rose from 48% to 69%.Sanders run for a 2-yd loss, turnover on downs
Ohio State's lowest chance to win was 6 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 2:03 left in the 4th quarter, Ohio State's chance to win went from 25 percent to 60 percent when Ohio State scored a touchdown.
The score went from Ohio State 21, Penn State 26 to Ohio State 27, Penn State 26.
What happened next
Ohio State's next game: W 49-26 vs Indiana, Oct 6
7 days laterPenn State's next game: L 17-21 vs Michigan State, Oct 13
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Sep 29, 2018: Ohio State 28, Penn State 17, Nov 23, 2019
about 14 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.