Regular season ·
Army beat Navy
Records are after this game.
Army beat Navy by 7 points.
It was played at a neutral site: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA.
How the game turned
Q4 1:28 Army 17, Navy 7
Army 95% to win
Hopkins 1-yd TD run, Army leads 17-7
Big moments
- 1Q1 12:34 · Army 7, Navy 0Army's win chance rose from 73% to 79%.Hopkins 10-yd TD run, Army goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 0:45 · Army 7, Navy 0Army's win chance fell from 95% to 83%.Hopkins incomplete to Walker, turnover on downs
- 3Q4 7:10 · Army 10, Navy 7Army's win chance fell from 90% to 79%.Lewis 1-yd TD run, cuts it to 10-7
- 4Q4 1:28 · Army 17, Navy 7Army's win chance rose from 77% to 95%.Hopkins 1-yd TD run, Army leads 17-7
Army was never below a 55 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 1:28 left in the 4th quarter, Army's chance to win went from 77 percent to 95 percent when Army scored a touchdown.
The score went from Army 10, Navy 7 to Army 17, Navy 7.
The play: Hopkins 1-yd TD run, Army leads 17-7.
What happened next
Army's next game: W 70-14 vs Houston in the Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl, Dec 22
14 days laterNavy finished the 2018 season 3-10.
Navy's first game of the 2019 season: W 45-7 vs Holy Cross, Aug 31, 2019
about 9 months laterThe teams' next meeting after Dec 8, 2018: Navy 31, Army 7, Dec 14, 2019
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.