Regular season ·

New Mexico beat New Mexico State

New Mexico2-142
New Mexico State0-425Final
Sat, Sep 15 · Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces, N.M. · Crowd 20,673 · 88°

Records are after this game.

New Mexico beat New Mexico State by 17 points.

How the game turned

New Mexico aheadNew Mexico State aheadBiggest swing

Q1 13:58 New Mexico 0, New Mexico State 7

New Mexico 35% to win

Hanks return TD, New Mexico State goes ahead 7-0

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 13:58 · New Mexico 0, New Mexico State 7New Mexico's win chance fell from 56% to 35%.Hanks return TD, New Mexico State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 10:40 · New Mexico 14, New Mexico State 17New Mexico's win chance rose from 30% to 41%.Davis 1-yd TD run, cuts it to 17-14
  3. 3Q2 3:34 · New Mexico 21, New Mexico State 17New Mexico's win chance rose from 42% to 63%.Owens 6-yd TD run, New Mexico goes ahead 21-17
  4. 4Q3 4:19 · New Mexico 28, New Mexico State 17New Mexico's win chance rose from 75% to 89%.Davis 3-yd TD run, New Mexico leads 28-17
  5. 5Q4 0:28 · New Mexico 42, New Mexico State 25New Mexico's win chance rose from 86% to 97%.Hayes return TD, New Mexico leads 42-25

New Mexico's lowest chance to win was 14 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 13:58 left in the 1st quarter, New Mexico State's chance to win went from 44 percent to 65 percent when New Mexico State scored a touchdown.

The score went from New Mexico 0, New Mexico State 0 to New Mexico 0, New Mexico State 7.

The play: Hanks return TD, New Mexico State goes ahead 7-0.

What happened next

  1. New Mexico State's next game: W 27-20 at UTEP, Sep 22

    7 days later
  2. New Mexico's next game: L 43-52 vs Liberty, Sep 29

    14 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 15, 2018: New Mexico 55, New Mexico State 52, Sep 21, 2019

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

Share: Post on X · Text it ·