Regular season ·

Houston beat South Florida

No. 21 South Florida7-136
Houston7-157Final
Sat, Oct 27 · TDECU Stadium, Houston, Texas · Crowd 31,631 · 80°, fairABC

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Houston beat No. 21 South Florida by 21 points.

South Florida was No. 21 in the AP poll before the game; Houston was not ranked.

How the game turned

Houston aheadSouth Florida ahead
1234

Q1 13:07 Houston 7, South Florida 0

Houston 85% to win

King 47-yd TD run, Houston goes ahead 7-0

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 13:07 · Houston 7, South Florida 0Houston's win chance rose from 79% to 85%.King 47-yd TD run, Houston goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 10:20 · Houston 14, South Florida 14Houston's win chance fell from 85% to 70%.Ford 32-yd TD run, ties it 14-14
  3. 3Q2 8:42 · Houston 21, South Florida 14Houston's win chance rose from 72% to 82%.King 38-yd TD pass to Stevenson, Houston goes ahead 21-14
  4. 4Q2 1:06 · Houston 28, South Florida 21Houston's win chance rose from 70% to 81%.King 30-yd TD pass to Lark, Houston goes ahead 28-21

Houston was never below a 64 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Houston took the lead for good with 1:06 left in the 2nd quarter, Houston 28, South Florida 21.

What happened next

  1. Houston's next game: L 31-45 at SMU, Nov 3

    7 days later

  2. South Florida's next game: L 15-41 vs Tulane, Nov 3

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 27, 2018: Houston 56, South Florida 21, Nov 14, 2020

    about 2 years later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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