Regular season ·
UNLV beat San Diego State
Records are after this game.
UNLV had a 3 percent chance to win in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 27-24, November 10, 2018.
How the game turned
Q4 3:27 UNLV 27, San Diego State 24
UNLV 60% to win
Thomas 75-yd TD run, two-point try good, UNLV goes ahead 27-24
Big moments
- 1Q1 11:30 · UNLV 3, San Diego State 0Pantels 21-yd field goal, UNLV goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 13:54 · UNLV 6, San Diego State 7UNLV's win chance fell from 13% to 12%.Chapman 13-yd TD pass to Wilson, San Diego State goes ahead 7-6
- 3Q2 10:35 · UNLV 13, San Diego State 7UNLV's win chance rose from 12% to 23%.Thomas 2-yd TD run, UNLV goes ahead 13-7
- 4Q2 0:28 · UNLV 13, San Diego State 14UNLV's win chance fell from 26% to 21%.Washington 2-yd TD run, San Diego State goes ahead 14-13
- 5Q4 3:27 · UNLV 27, San Diego State 24UNLV's win chance rose from 13% to 60%.Thomas 75-yd TD run, two-point try good, UNLV goes ahead 27-24
UNLV's lowest chance to win was 3 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 3:27 left in the 4th quarter, UNLV's chance to win went from 13 percent to 60 percent when UNLV scored a touchdown.
The score went from UNLV 19, San Diego State 24 to UNLV 27, San Diego State 24.
The play: Thomas 75-yd TD run, two-point try good, UNLV goes ahead 27-24.
It was UNLV's first win over San Diego State since the 2013 season, after 4 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
UNLV's next game: L 28-35 at Hawai'i, Nov 17
7 days laterSan Diego State's next game: L 14-23 at Fresno State, Nov 17
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 10, 2018: San Diego State 20, UNLV 17, Oct 26, 2019
about 11 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.