Regular season ·
Boise State beat Utah State
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 21 Boise State beat No. 14 Utah State by 9 points.
How the game turned
Q4 7:23 Boise State 26, Utah State 17
Boise State 90% to win
Rypien 1-yd TD pass to Collingham, two-point try fails, Boise State leads 26-17
Big moments
- 1Q1 11:14 · Boise State 0, Utah State 7Boise State's win chance fell from 44% to 37%.Love 9-yd TD pass to Greene, Utah State goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 14:45 · Boise State 10, Utah State 7Hoggarth 23-yd field goal, Boise State goes ahead 10-7
- 3Q3 10:06 · Boise State 17, Utah State 14Boise State's win chance fell from 72% to 59%.Mattison run for no gain, turnover on downs
- 4Q4 7:23 · Boise State 26, Utah State 17Boise State's win chance rose from 71% to 90%.Rypien 1-yd TD pass to Collingham, two-point try fails, Boise State leads 26-17
- 5Q4 0:04 · Boise State 33, Utah State 24Boise State's win chance rose from 87% to 100%.Mattison 1-yd TD run, Boise State wins it 33-24
Boise State's lowest chance to win was 25 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 7:23 left in the 4th quarter, Boise State's chance to win went from 71 percent to 90 percent when Boise State scored a touchdown.
The score went from Boise State 20, Utah State 17 to Boise State 26, Utah State 17.
The play: Rypien 1-yd TD pass to Collingham, two-point try fails, Boise State leads 26-17.
What happened next
Utah State was No. 14 before the game and out of the next AP poll.
Boise State's next game: L 16-19 vs Fresno State, Dec 1
7 days laterUtah State's next game: W 52-13 vs North Texas in the New Mexico Bowl, Dec 15
21 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 24, 2018: Boise State 56, Utah State 21, Nov 23, 2019
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.