Mountain West Championship ·

Mountain West Championship

Mountain West Championship
No. 25 Fresno State11-219
No. 19 Boise State10-316Final
Sat, Dec 1 · Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho · Crowd 23,662 · 36°, light rainESPN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 25 Fresno State beat No. 19 Boise State by 3 points in overtime, the Mountain West Championship.

How the game turned

Fresno State aheadBoise State aheadBiggest swingLow: 28%
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OT1 Fresno State 19, Boise State 16

Fresno State 100% to win

Rivers 1-yd TD run, Fresno State wins it 19-16

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 9:03 · Fresno State 7, Boise State 0Fresno State's win chance rose from 58% to 65%.McMaryion 15-yd TD pass to Quick, Fresno State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 3:20 · Fresno State 10, Boise State 7Fuller 44-yd field goal, Fresno State goes ahead 10-7
  3. 3Q4 8:01 · Fresno State 13, Boise State 13Fresno State's win chance fell from 71% to 58%.Mattison 34-yd TD run, blocked, ties it 13-13
  4. 4OT1 · Fresno State 13, Boise State 16Fresno State's win chance fell from 54% to 48%.Hoggarth 23-yd field goal, Boise State goes ahead 16-13
  5. 5OT1 · Fresno State 19, Boise State 16Fresno State's win chance rose from 64% to 100%.Rivers 1-yd TD run, Fresno State wins it 19-16

Fresno State's lowest chance to win was 28 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In overtime, Fresno State's chance to win went from 64 percent to 99 percent when Fresno State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Fresno State 13, Boise State 16 to Fresno State 19, Boise State 16.

The play: Rivers 1-yd TD run, Fresno State wins it 19-16.

What happened next

  1. Fresno State's next game: W 31-20 vs Arizona State in the Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl, Dec 15

    14 days later

  2. Boise State finished the 2018 season 10-3, No. 23 in the last AP poll before the bowls.

  3. Boise State's first game of the 2019 season: W 36-31 at Florida State, Aug 31, 2019

    about 9 months later

  4. The teams' next meeting after Dec 1, 2018: Boise State 40, Fresno State 14, Nov 6, 2021

    about 3 years later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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