Regular season ·

Hawai'i beat San Diego State

Hawai'i8-531
San Diego State7-530Final
Sat, Nov 24 · SDCCU Stadium, San Diego, Calif. · Crowd 28,014 · 59°, cloudyESPNU

Records are after this game.

Hawai'i beat San Diego State by 1 point in overtime.

How the game turned

Hawai'i aheadSan Diego State aheadBiggest swingLow: 5%

Q4 6:07 Hawai'i 24, San Diego State 24

Hawai'i 40% to win

Agnew 13-yd TD pass to Lessard, ties it 24-24

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 8:38 · Hawai'i 3, San Diego State 0Meskell 22-yd field goal, Hawai'i goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q1 8:20 · Hawai'i 3, San Diego State 7Hawai'i's win chance fell from 16% to 12%.Chapman 76-yd TD pass to Trevillion, San Diego State goes ahead 7-3
  3. 3Q2 5:11 · Hawai'i 17, San Diego State 14Hawai'i's win chance rose from 19% to 26%.McDonald 1-yd TD run, Hawai'i goes ahead 17-14
  4. 4Q4 6:07 · Hawai'i 24, San Diego State 24Hawai'i's win chance fell from 69% to 40%.Agnew 13-yd TD pass to Lessard, ties it 24-24
  5. 5OT1 · Hawai'i 31, San Diego State 24Hawai'i's win chance rose from 27% to 48%.McDonald 10-yd TD pass to Ward, Hawai'i goes ahead 31-24

Hawai'i's lowest chance to win was 5 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 6:07 left in the 4th quarter, San Diego State's chance to win went from 31 percent to 60 percent when San Diego State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Hawai'i 24, San Diego State 17 to Hawai'i 24, San Diego State 24.

The play: Agnew 13-yd TD pass to Lessard, ties it 24-24.

It was Hawai'i's first win over San Diego State since the 2005 season, after 6 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. San Diego State's next game: L 0-27 vs Ohio in the Dxl Frisco Bowl, Dec 19

    25 days later
  2. Hawai'i's next game: L 14-31 vs Louisiana Tech in the Sofi Hawai'i Bowl, Dec 22

    28 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 24, 2018: Hawai'i 14, San Diego State 11, Nov 23, 2019

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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