Regular season ·

UNLV beat Nevada

Nevada7-529
UNLV4-834Final
Sat, Nov 24 · Sam Boyd Stadium, Whitney, Nev. · Crowd 19,921 · 58°, fairCBS Sports Network

Records are after this game.

UNLV trailed Nevada by 23 points in the 2nd quarter and won 34-29, November 24, 2018.

How the game turned

UNLV aheadNevada aheadBiggest swingLow: 1%
1234

Q4 2:34 UNLV 34, Nevada 29

UNLV 80% to win

Rogers 3-yd TD run, two-point try fails, UNLV goes ahead 34-29

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 12:03 · UNLV 0, Nevada 7UNLV's win chance fell from 18% to 10%.Gangi 5-yd TD pass to Mannix, Nevada goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 4:46 · UNLV 28, Nevada 26UNLV's win chance rose from 17% to 35%.Rogers 1-yd TD pass to Bean, UNLV goes ahead 28-26
  3. 3Q4 11:21 · UNLV 28, Nevada 29UNLV's win chance fell from 40% to 25%.Ahmed 36-yd field goal, Nevada goes ahead 29-28
  4. 4Q4 2:34 · UNLV 34, Nevada 29UNLV's win chance rose from 49% to 80%.Rogers 3-yd TD run, two-point try fails, UNLV goes ahead 34-29

UNLV's lowest chance to win was 1 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 2:34 left in the 4th quarter, UNLV's chance to win went from 49 percent to 80 percent when UNLV scored a touchdown.

The score went from UNLV 28, Nevada 29 to UNLV 34, Nevada 29.

The play: Rogers 3-yd TD run, two-point try fails, UNLV goes ahead 34-29.

What happened next

  1. Nevada's next game: W 16-13 vs Arkansas State, Dec 29

    35 days later

  2. UNLV finished the 2018 season 4-8.

  3. UNLV's first game of the 2019 season: W 56-23 vs Southern Utah, Aug 31, 2019

    about 9 months later

  4. The teams' next meeting after Nov 24, 2018: UNLV 33, Nevada 30, Nov 30, 2019

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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