American Athletic Championship ·
American Athletic Championship
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
UCF trailed Memphis by 17 points in the 1st quarter and won 56-41, the American Athletic Championship, December 1, 2018.
How the game turned
Q4 14:28 UCF 42, Memphis 41
UCF 52% to win
Mack 2-yd TD run, UCF goes ahead 42-41
Big moments
- 1Q1 13:13 · UCF 0, Memphis 7UCF's win chance fell from 42% to 31%.Henderson 62-yd TD run, Memphis goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q1 8:22 · UCF 7, Memphis 21UCF's win chance fell from 31% to 18%.Taylor 70-yd TD run, Memphis leads 21-7
- 3Q3 6:55 · UCF 35, Memphis 38UCF's win chance rose from 19% to 35%.Mack 4-yd TD run, cuts it to 38-35
- 4Q4 14:28 · UCF 42, Memphis 41UCF's win chance rose from 17% to 52%.Mack 2-yd TD run, UCF goes ahead 42-41
- 5Q4 6:37 · UCF 49, Memphis 41UCF's win chance rose from 56% to 85%.Mack 2-yd TD run, UCF leads 49-41
UCF's lowest chance to win was 3 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 14:28 left in the 4th quarter, UCF's chance to win went from 17 percent to 52 percent when UCF scored a touchdown.
The score went from UCF 35, Memphis 41 to UCF 42, Memphis 41.
The play: Mack 2-yd TD run, UCF goes ahead 42-41.
What happened next
Memphis's next game: L 34-37 vs Wake Forest in the Jared Birmingham Bowl, Dec 22
21 days laterUCF's next game: L 32-40 vs LSU in the Playstation Fiesta Bowl, Jan 1
31 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Dec 1, 2018: Memphis 50, UCF 49, Oct 17, 2020
about 23 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.