Regular season ·
Georgia State beat Tennessee
Records are after this game.
Georgia State beat Tennessee by 8 points.
How the game turned
Q4 8:56 Georgia State 28, Tennessee 23
Georgia State 60% to win
Barnett 19-yd TD run, Georgia State goes ahead 28-23
Big moments
- 1Q1 12:00 · Georgia State 7, Tennessee 0Georgia State's win chance rose from 9% to 11%.Paige 4-yd TD run, Georgia State goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q1 0:09 · Georgia State 7, Tennessee 14Georgia State's win chance fell from 8% to 6%.Chandler 31-yd TD run, Tennessee goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q2 0:00 · Georgia State 14, Tennessee 17Georgia State's win chance fell from 13% to 12%.Cimaglia 19-yd field goal, Tennessee goes ahead 17-14
- 4Q3 10:30 · Georgia State 21, Tennessee 17Georgia State's win chance rose from 15% to 22%.Ellington 6-yd TD pass to Payne, Georgia State goes ahead 21-17
- 5Q4 12:05 · Georgia State 21, Tennessee 23Georgia State's win chance fell from 22% to 18%.Cimaglia 31-yd field goal, Tennessee goes ahead 23-21
- 6Q4 8:56 · Georgia State 28, Tennessee 23Georgia State's win chance rose from 20% to 60%.Barnett 19-yd TD run, Georgia State goes ahead 28-23
Georgia State's lowest chance to win was 2 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 8:56 left in the 4th quarter, Georgia State's chance to win went from 20 percent to 60 percent when Georgia State scored a touchdown.
The score went from Georgia State 21, Tennessee 23 to Georgia State 28, Tennessee 23.
The play: Barnett 19-yd TD run, Georgia State goes ahead 28-23.
What happened next
Georgia State's next game: W 48-42 vs Furman, Sep 7
7 days laterTennessee's next game: L 26-29 vs BYU, Sep 7
7 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.