Regular season ·
San José State beat Arkansas
Records are after this game.
San José State beat Arkansas by 7 points.
How the game turned
Q4 1:13 San José State 31, Arkansas 24
San José State 88% to win
Packer 19-yd TD run, San José State goes ahead 31-24
Big moments
- 1Q1 12:44 · San José State 7, Arkansas 0Love 3-yd TD pass to Blackwell, San José State goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 14:18 · San José State 14, Arkansas 7San José State's win chance rose from 14% to 19%.Nash 15-yd TD run, San José State goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q2 1:06 · San José State 24, Arkansas 7San José State's win chance rose from 54% to 71%.Love 26-yd TD pass to Holiness, San José State leads 24-7
- 4Q4 2:56 · San José State 24, Arkansas 24San José State's win chance fell from 73% to 52%.Starkel 8-yd TD pass to Knox, ties it 24-24
- 5Q4 1:13 · San José State 31, Arkansas 24San José State's win chance rose from 65% to 88%.Packer 19-yd TD run, San José State goes ahead 31-24
San José State's lowest chance to win was 5 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 1:13 left in the 4th quarter, San José State's chance to win went from 65 percent to 88 percent when San José State scored a touchdown.
The score went from San José State 24, Arkansas 24 to San José State 31, Arkansas 24.
The play: Packer 19-yd TD run, San José State goes ahead 31-24.
What happened next
San José State's next game: L 24-41 at Air Force, Sep 27
6 days laterArkansas's next game: L 27-31 vs Texas A&M, Sep 28
7 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.