Regular season ·

Baylor beat Iowa State

Iowa State2-221
Baylor4-023Final
Sat, Sep 28 · McLane Stadium, Waco, Texas · Crowd 42,359 · 94°ESPN

Records are after this game.

Baylor beat Iowa State by 2 points.

How the game turned

Baylor aheadIowa State aheadLow: 27%
1234

Q4 0:21 Baylor 23, Iowa State 21

Baylor 57% to win

Mayers 38-yd field goal, Baylor goes ahead 23-21

Big moments

  1. 1Q2 0:58 · Baylor 7, Iowa State 0Baylor's win chance rose from 60% to 61%.Brewer 9-yd TD pass to Mims, Baylor goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 0:01 · Baylor 7, Iowa State 0Baylor's win chance rose from 57% to 74%.Assalley 49-yd field goal blocked
  3. 3Q4 3:45 · Baylor 20, Iowa State 21Baylor's win chance fell from 75% to 42%.Purdy 20-yd TD pass to Kolar, Iowa State goes ahead 21-20
  4. 4Q4 0:21 · Baylor 23, Iowa State 21Baylor's win chance rose from 41% to 57%.Mayers 38-yd field goal, Baylor goes ahead 23-21

Baylor's lowest chance to win was 27 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Baylor took the lead for good with 0:21 left in the 4th quarter, Baylor 23, Iowa State 21.

What happened next

  1. Baylor's next game: W 31-12 at Kansas State, Oct 5

    7 days later

  2. Iowa State's next game: W 49-24 vs TCU, Oct 5

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 28, 2019: Iowa State 38, Baylor 31, Nov 7, 2020

    about 13 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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