Regular season ·
Baylor beat TCU
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Baylor beat TCU 29-23 in 3 overtimes, November 9, 2019.
How the game turned
Q4 (no clock) Baylor 6, TCU 9
Baylor 39% to win
Jordy Sandy punt for 51 yds, Grayland Arnold returns for no gain, Arnold fumbled
Big moments
- 1Q1 12:34 · Baylor 0, TCU 3Kell 47-yd field goal, TCU goes ahead 3-0
- 2OT1 · Baylor 16, TCU 9Baylor's win chance rose from 60% to 74%.Brewer 3-yd TD run, Baylor goes ahead 16-9
- 3OT2 · Baylor 16, TCU 23Baylor's win chance fell from 56% to 54%.Olonilua 2-yd TD run, TCU goes ahead 23-16
- 4OT2 · Baylor 23, TCU 23Baylor's win chance rose from 58% to 65%.Brewer 20-yd TD pass to Mims, ties it 23-23
- 5OT3 · Baylor 29, TCU 23Baylor's win chance rose from 65% to 73%.Brewer 4-yd TD pass to Mims, two-point try fails, Baylor goes ahead 29-23
Baylor's lowest chance to win was 17 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
In the 4th quarter, TCU's chance to win went from 36 percent to 61 percent on a fumble.
The score stayed Baylor 6, TCU 9.
It was Baylor's first win over TCU since the 2014 season, after 4 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
Baylor's next game: L 31-34 vs Oklahoma, Nov 16
7 days laterTCU's next game: W 33-31 at Texas Tech, Nov 16
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 9, 2019: TCU 33, Baylor 23, Oct 31, 2020
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.