Regular season ·
SMU beat TCU
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
SMU beat No. 25 TCU by 3 points.
TCU was No. 25 in the AP poll before the game; SMU was not ranked.
How the game turned
Q4 (no clock) SMU 41, TCU 38
SMU 87% to win
Duggan incomplete to Anderson, turnover on downs
Big moments
- 1Q1 13:42 · SMU 7, TCU 0SMU's win chance rose from 45% to 46%.Buechele 4-yd TD run, SMU goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q1 5:56 · SMU 15, TCU 0SMU's win chance rose from 55% to 71%.Jones 1-yd TD run, two-point try good, SMU leads 15-0
- 3Q2 13:05 · SMU 18, TCU 14SMU's win chance fell from 63% to 49%.Anderson 3-yd TD run, cuts it to 18-14
- 4Q4 13:58 · SMU 38, TCU 24SMU's win chance rose from 80% to 94%.Buechele 3-yd TD pass to Jones, SMU leads 38-24
- 5Q4 (no clock) · SMU 41, TCU 38SMU's win chance rose from 64% to 87%.Duggan incomplete to Anderson, turnover on downs
SMU's lowest chance to win was 37 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
In the 4th quarter, SMU's chance to win went from 64 percent to 87 percent on a failed fourth down.
The score stayed SMU 41, TCU 38.
The play: TCU on 4th down, Duggan incomplete to Anderson.
It was SMU's first win over TCU since the 2011 season, after 7 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
SMU's next game: W 48-21 at South Florida, Sep 28
7 days laterTCU's next game: W 51-14 vs Kansas, Sep 28
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Sep 21, 2019: SMU 42, TCU 34, Sep 25, 2021
about 2 years later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.