Regular season ·

Illinois beat Michigan State

Illinois6-437
Michigan State4-534Final
Sat, Nov 9 · Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, Mich. · Crowd 63,370 · 42°FS1

Records are after this game.

Illinois trailed Michigan State by 25 points in the 2nd quarter and won 37-34, November 9, 2019.

How the game turned

Illinois aheadMichigan State aheadBiggest swingLow: 1%
123

Q4 0:05 Illinois 37, Michigan State 34

Illinois 100% to win

Peters 5-yd TD pass to Barker, Illinois wins it 37-34

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 (no clock) · Illinois 0, Michigan State 7Collins 1-yd TD run, Michigan State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q4 4:53 · Illinois 30, Michigan State 31Illinois's win chance rose from 10% to 42%.Brown return TD, cuts it to 31-30
  3. 3Q4 0:05 · Illinois 37, Michigan State 34Illinois's win chance rose from 37% to 100%.Peters 5-yd TD pass to Barker, Illinois wins it 37-34

Illinois's lowest chance to win was 1 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:05 left in the 4th quarter, Illinois's chance to win went from 37 percent to 99 percent when Illinois scored a touchdown.

The score went from Illinois 30, Michigan State 34 to Illinois 37, Michigan State 34.

The play: Peters 5-yd TD pass to Barker, Illinois wins it 37-34.

What happened next

  1. Michigan State's next game: L 10-44 at Michigan, Nov 16

    7 days later

  2. Illinois's next game: L 10-19 at Iowa, Nov 23

    14 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 9, 2019: Michigan State 23, Illinois 15, Nov 5, 2022

    about 3 years later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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