Regular season ·

Michigan State beat Indiana

Indiana3-231
No. 25 Michigan State4-140Final
Sat, Sep 28 · Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, Mich. · Crowd 71,048 · 63°BTN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 25 Michigan State beat Indiana by 9 points.

How the game turned

Michigan State aheadIndiana aheadBiggest swingLow: 33%
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Q4 0:00 Michigan State 40, Indiana 31

Michigan State 100% to win

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 8:04 · Michigan State 7, Indiana 0Michigan State's win chance rose from 87% to 89%.Collins 4-yd TD run, Michigan State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 12:55 · Michigan State 14, Indiana 7Michigan State's win chance rose from 81% to 90%.Lewerke 5-yd TD pass to Stewart, Michigan State goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q2 0:33 · Michigan State 21, Indiana 14Michigan State's win chance rose from 79% to 81%.Lewerke 26-yd TD pass to Stewart, Michigan State goes ahead 21-14
  4. 4Q4 14:52 · Michigan State 21, Indiana 24Michigan State's win chance fell from 80% to 55%.Penix 12-yd TD pass to Hale, Indiana goes ahead 24-21
  5. 5Q4 12:12 · Michigan State 28, Indiana 24Michigan State's win chance rose from 70% to 81%.Lewerke 10-yd TD pass to Seybert, Michigan State goes ahead 28-24
  6. 6Q4 2:00 · Michigan State 31, Indiana 31Michigan State's win chance fell from 82% to 56%.Penix 11-yd TD pass to Philyor, ties it 31-31
  7. 7Q4 (no clock) · Michigan State 34, Indiana 31Coghlin 21-yd field goal, Michigan State goes ahead 34-31

Michigan State's lowest chance to win was 33 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Michigan State's chance to win went from 50 percent to 99 percent when Michigan State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Michigan State 34, Indiana 31 to Michigan State 40, Indiana 31.

What happened next

  1. Michigan State's next game: L 10-34 at Ohio State, Oct 5

    7 days later

  2. Indiana's next game: W 35-0 vs Rutgers, Oct 12

    14 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 28, 2019: Indiana 24, Michigan State 0, Nov 14, 2020

    about 14 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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